CCTV News:2018 is the first year to implement the spirit of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the 40th anniversary of reform and opening-up, and a crucial year to build a well-off society in an all-round way. At the critical moment of implementing the 13 th Five-Year Plan, how will the economic work be laid out next year? What tough battles must be won? What arrangements does the central government have for the people’s livelihood hotspots that are closely related to us?
12月8日，中共中央政治局召开会议，具体分析研究2018年经济工作，中共中央总书记最高领袖主持会议。明确指出做好明年经济工作要全面贯彻党的十九大精神，以最高领袖新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导，紧扣我国社会主要矛盾变化，统筹推进“五位一体”总体布局和协调推进“四个全面”战略布局，大力推进改革开放，加强和改善民生，促进经济社会持续健康发展。
就在两天前，12月6日，中共中央召开党外人士座谈会，征求对经济工作的意见和建议。最高领袖总书记在认真听取大家发言后，给各民主党派、工商联和无党派人士提出三点希望。
短短三天内，中共中央两次聚焦经济工作，从听取各民主党派中央、全国工商联和无党派人士对今年经济形势和明年经济工作建言献策，到中央政治局召开会议分析研究部署2018年经济工作，两次会议都集中反复强调，我国经济发展的基本特征已由高速增长阶段转向高质量发展阶段，高质量发展是我们当前和今后一个时期确定发展思路、制定经济政策、实施宏观调控的根本要求，必须深刻认识、全面领会、真正落实。除此之外，还透露出哪些2018年经济工作重磅信号？
一个原则：“稳中求进工作总基调”不动摇
"The general tone of striving for progress in stability is an important principle of governing the country and should be adhered to for a long time." During the three-day two sessions, General Secretary of the Supreme Leader once again stressed that this principle should always be adhered to in economic work.
In fact, since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the CPC Central Committee with the Supreme Leader as the core has attached great importance to "striving for progress through stability", and all previous central economic work conferences since the 18th National Congress have emphasized "the general tone of striving for progress through stability". Under the guidance of the general tone of striving for progress through stability, China’s economy has always grasped the general direction of stability, further promoted the "three to one, one reduction and one supplement", made positive progress in supply-side structural reform, and achieved stable economic growth, stable employment and stable social development. Efforts to ensure the improvement of people’s livelihood have greatly enhanced the people’s sense of gain. While winning the hearts of the people, it has also been well received by the international community. Therefore, in the view of the supreme leader, "striving for progress while maintaining stability" is a method and principle at the strategic level.
At present, China’s economic development is generally stable. In the first three quarters of this year, GDP increased by 6.9% year-on-year, 0.4 percentage points higher than the expected target for the whole year, ranking among the best in the world. The achievements made are encouraging, and the influence of the world is constantly expanding. But it should also be noted that China’s development still faces many challenges. Domestically, the structural problems of China’s economy are still outstanding, the downward pressure on the economy is greater, and there are many factors affecting economic development and social stability. From an international perspective, the global economic recovery is weak, anti-globalization and trade protectionism are on the rise, regional and global conflicts are becoming increasingly fierce, and unstable and uncertain factors are obviously increasing.
In the face of profound and complicated changes at home and abroad, we need to look at the overall situation calmly, understand the general trend, and adhere to the general tone of striving for progress while maintaining stability. Today, although China has become the second largest economy in the world, it still belongs to a developing country. As the largest developing country and a responsible big country in the world, the Belt and Road Initiative put forward by China has played an active role in promoting the healthy development of economic globalization and has been widely responded by the international community. China is becoming a contributor and leader of economic globalization, providing more public goods for the international community to benefit the whole world.
Three major battles: advancing in an orderly manner to ensure that the three major battles must be won.
The Supreme Leader clearly pointed out at the Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party Conference: "We should make overall plans, advance in an orderly manner, and ensure to win the three tough battles. To prevent and resolve major risks, we should effectively control the macro leverage ratio, enhance the ability of financial services to the real economy, and achieve positive results in risk prevention; Accurate poverty alleviation should aim at the precise assistance of special poor people, further focus on deep poverty areas, combine poverty alleviation with supporting ambition and wisdom, stimulate the endogenous motivation of poor people to get rid of poverty, consolidate the results of poverty alleviation and improve the quality of poverty alleviation; Pollution prevention and control should continue to significantly reduce the total discharge of major pollutants and improve the overall quality of the ecological environment. "
To prevent and resolve financial risks, we need to grasp key links, prevent and resolve risks in key areas, and strengthen the control of risk sources. The quarterly report on China’s financial operation released by the National Finance and Development Laboratory recently shows that the total leverage ratio of China’s real economy has stabilized in the first three quarters and shifted from enterprises to the government and residents, and the risk has decreased. Zhang Xiaojing, deputy director of the National Finance and Development Laboratory, said that, on the whole, we think that we are now in a situation where the risks have eased, but the overall risks still exist. With the recent resolute deleveraging, especially financial deleveraging, and changes in leverage structure, we believe that risks are gradually easing, because our leverage structure is gradually becoming balanced.
Adhere to the pattern of accurate poverty alleviation, and combine poverty alleviation with supporting ambition and wisdom. What is left behind by the poverty alleviation work is the most difficult "hard bone", especially in some remote and deep poverty areas, poverty has the characteristics of integrity, regionality and stubbornness. As long as the causes of poverty are found and the right solutions are found, real poverty alleviation and long-term development can be achieved. The Ministry of Land and Resources recently proposed six major measures to support poverty-stricken areas to get rid of poverty. Sun Xuedong, deputy director of the Office of the Chief Inspector of the Ministry of Land and Resources, said that for ex situ poverty alleviation and relocation, people’s livelihood projects and infrastructure projects, the planning scale should be guaranteed, and if the scale is not enough, the national and provincial people’s governments will make overall plans. Up to now, 28 poverty-stricken counties in China have taken off their hats.
Promoting the improvement of the ecological environment can only be effective if we work hard. On December 6th, at the awarding ceremony of the Earth Guardian Award, the most influential environmental award of the United Nations, six organizations and individuals won awards this year, and half of them came from China, namely, the builder of Saihanba Forest Farm, the chairman of mobike Company and Yili Resources Group. Half of the "Guardian of the Earth Award" went to China, which is the first time in the 13 years since the award was established. Eric solheim, Executive Director of the United Nations Environment Programme, said: Three prizes were awarded to China this year, which is a recognition that China has become greener. This is due to the great progress made in China’s environmental policy, and the construction of ecological civilization has been brought into the overall layout of "five in one" and placed at an unprecedented strategic height. Always adhere to the concept of "Lucid waters and lush mountains are invaluable assets", China’s ecological environment will be further improved.
A hot spot for people’s livelihood: speeding up the reform of housing system and the construction of long-term mechanism
At the meeting, it was mentioned that "improving the security and people’s livelihood, accelerating the reform of the housing system and the construction of a long-term mechanism." Once released, it has aroused widespread concern among netizens.
In fact, in the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China this year, the General Secretary of the Supreme Leader clearly emphasized: "Adhere to the positioning that houses are used for living, not for speculation, and accelerate the establishment of a housing system with multi-agent supply, multi-channel guarantee and rent and purchase, so that all people can live and live."
After the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, relevant central ministries and commissions have made many arrangements for real estate regulation and control. A few days ago, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Land and Resources and the People’s Bank of China held a forum to set the tone for the future regulation of the property market: there should be no idea of "taking a breath and resting" in the regulation of the property market.
According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, since the implementation of the real estate control policy of "adapting measures to local conditions" in the fourth quarter of last year, the year-on-year and month-on-month increases of house prices in 15 hot cities among 70 large and medium-sized cities have declined. At the end of October, the area of commercial housing for sale in China decreased by more than 10%. At present, real estate investment has maintained a steady growth trend, and the real estate sales situation has steadily declined. (Text/Tian Hong)